Happy Valley · 2025-06-25 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-25 was Class 4 over 1650m. AMAZING RUN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with FORTUNE STAR second and WAH MAY WAI WAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CHAIN OF GOLD finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AMAZING RUN Closed strongly 1.39.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WAH MAY WAI WAI M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly CP-/V2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 6.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | NEBRASKAN Led early B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | THE AZURE B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD CP/H/XB/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SATIRICAL FAN TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 9.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | NAMJONG KINGDOM CP1/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 7 | 45.0 | 21-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 29.6% | 3.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 10.5% | 9.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 9.9% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | THE AZURE | 9.4% | 10.59 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER | 7.4% | 13.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS | 6.4% | 15.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | SATIRICAL FAN | 6.1% | 16.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 5.7% | 17.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR | 4.8% | 21.00 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | NEBRASKAN | 4.5% | 22.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | AMAZING RUN | 4.1% | 24.35 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 1.8% | 56.85 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 116
PLACE
10 57.5
11 38.5
12 34
QUINELLA
10,11 929
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 338
10,12 294
11,12 237.5
FORECAST
11,10 2,206
TIERCE
11,10,12 18,015
TRIO
10,11,12 4,019
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 6,369
QUARTET
11,10,12,9 140,296
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
6/10 887
6/11 4,638.5