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Happy Valley · 2025-06-25 · 11:45

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-25 was Class 4 over 1200m. AMAZING VICTORY, ridden by J Orman and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with FUN ELITE second and WINNING MONEY third. The 3.6 favourite FUN ELITE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 AMAZING VICTORY CP1/TT 1.09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · C W Chang 6 31.0 N
2 1 FUN ELITE TT Z Purton · T P Yung 7 3.6 N
3 11 WINNING MONEY H/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 1 7.0 1/2
4 4 THUNDER PRINCE E/TT H Bowman · W Y So 8 9.7 3/4
5 10 VULCANUS B K De Melo · Y S Tsui 3 4.7 1-3/4
6 12 SUPER CHARIZZARD PC A Badel · M Newnham 4 16.0 2
7 7 VICTOR THE RAPID TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 11 14.0 2-1/4
8 5 WRITTEN CASA B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards 12 45.0 2-1/2
9 3 SUPER LOVE CP1/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 2 8.8 3
10 9 GLORY CLOUD B1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 5 7.8 3-1/4
11 2 FLYING TING LOK A Atzeni · K L Man 9 23.0 4-1/4
12 8 LUCKY KING H/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 78.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING VICTORY2. FUN ELITE+0.05L3. WINNING MONEY+0.5L4. THUNDER PRINCE+0.75L5. VULCANUS+1.75L6. SUPER CHARIZZARD+2L7. VICTOR THE RAPID+2.25L8. WRITTEN CASA+2.5L9. SUPER LOVE+3L10. GLORY CLOUD+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GLORY CLOUD (20.4%) finished 10th — the winner AMAZING VICTORY was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 GLORY CLOUD 20.4% 4.91 10
2 1 FUN ELITE 19.4% 5.15 2
3 10 VULCANUS 11.1% 8.99 5
4 3 SUPER LOVE 10.6% 9.43 9
5 4 THUNDER PRINCE 8.7% 11.44 4
6 7 VICTOR THE RAPID 7.8% 12.85 7
7 12 SUPER CHARIZZARD 5.0% 19.95 6
8 5 WRITTEN CASA 4.6% 21.75 8
9 2 FLYING TING LOK 4.5% 22.32 11
10 6 AMAZING VICTORY 3.0% 33.84 1
11 11 WINNING MONEY 2.6% 38.45 3
12 8 LUCKY KING 2.3% 43.54 12
GLORY CLOUDFUN ELITEVULCANUSSUPER LOVETHUNDER PRINCEVICTOR THE RAPIDSUPER CHARIZZARDWRITTEN CASAFLYING TING LOKAMAZING VICTORY — wonWINNING MONEYLUCKY KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 313

PLACE

1 16

6 70.5

11 29

QUINELLA

1,6 542.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 181.5

1,11 74

6,11 395.5

FORECAST

6,1 1,437

TIERCE

6,1,11 15,270

TRIO

1,6,11 1,707

FIRST 4

1,4,6,11 4,941

QUARTET

6,1,11,4 146,750

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/1,6,11 100,394

2ND DOUBLE

5/1 17

5/6 564.5