Happy Valley · 2025-06-25 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-25 was Class 3 over 1000m. SUPERB CAPITALIST, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with YOUTHFUL SPIRITS second and SKY CAP third. The 3.0 favourite SEASONS WIT did not finish.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H-/TT 0.56.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.6 | N |
| 2 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | SKY CAP TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 6 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | THOUSAND SPIRIT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 12 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 8.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 37.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | NEZHA TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 34.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 2 | SEASONS WIT B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| — | 4 | ETERNAL FORTUNE B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 9.9 | — |
| — | 12 | WATCH THIS ONE CP/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 49.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE | 31.3% | 3.19 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | SPORTS LEGEND | 18.8% | 5.33 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 14.7% | 6.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | NEZHA | 5.7% | 17.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 5.1% | 19.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.7% | 21.29 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SKY CAP | 3.1% | 31.80 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE | 2.2% | 46.43 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 46.5
PLACE
1 36
3 21.5
11 47
QUINELLA
1,3 372
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 122.5
1,11 347.5
3,11 130
FORECAST
3,1 707
TIERCE
3,1,11 11,628
TRIO
1,3,11 2,184
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 4,737
QUARTET
3,1,11,6 106,198
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
6/11/1 10,350
6/11/3 39,576
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
10,11,12/1,3,11 994,005
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 309
11/3 951.5