Sha Tin · 2026-01-21 · 10:45
KAM SHAN HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("KAM SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-21 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE DELUXE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with ONLY U second and MACANESE MASTER third. The 4.0 favourite ROBOT KNIGHT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P1/TT 1:09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 7.3 | — |
| 2 | 6 | ONLY U B/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER V M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT V1/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 1 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GENERAL SMART CP/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SONIC BOOM V/TT M Guyon · W K Mo | M Guyon | W K Mo | 7 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG STRIKER B1/TT D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 11 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER TT D B McMonagle · K W Lui | D B McMonagle | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | RICH HORSE XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 12 | 34.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GENERAL SMART | 17.3% | 5.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 15.9% | 6.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ONLY U | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 11.3% | 8.86 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | EXCEED THE WISH | 8.3% | 12.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | RICH HORSE | 3.6% | 27.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.8% | 35.82 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER | 2.2% | 45.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN | 2.2% | 46.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | YOUNG STRIKER | 2.1% | 46.69 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 73.5
PLACE
6 24.5
10 28.5
11 25
QUINELLA
6,10 377
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 120
6,11 138
10,11 118.5
FORECAST
10,6 722
TIERCE
10,6,11 6,636
TRIO
6,10,11 1,065
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 4,430
QUARTET
10,6,11,9 98,616