Sha Tin · 2026-01-21 · 11:15
SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-21 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL HARMONY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by B Crawford, won, with PHANTOM CYCLONE second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 7.0 favourite JOLLY JUMPER finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY Closed strongly CP-/XB1/TT- 1:38.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 7 | 7.7 | — |
| 2 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly V M Guyon · K H Ting | M Guyon | K H Ting | 12 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT- R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B-/XB C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 14 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | WISEMAN CP-/B2/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 9 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER Led early BO/SR1/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 6 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VERBIER SR-/B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GO GO GO PC/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 9.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER CP2/SR2/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MR ALADDIN H/PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 34.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | BIG STRIDE B-/PC1 J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 2 | 43.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | I P O BROS B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PODIUM B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING | 11.9% | 8.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 10.1% | 9.86 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER | 9.4% | 10.65 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER | 9.0% | 11.17 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | GO GO GO | 8.5% | 11.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | COURIER MAGIC | 8.1% | 12.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 8.1% | 12.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 7.6% | 13.08 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | VERBIER | 6.7% | 14.92 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | WISEMAN | 4.8% | 20.66 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | MR ALADDIN | 2.9% | 34.59 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | BIG STRIDE | 2.6% | 38.73 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.9% | 51.91 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 77.5
PLACE
4 26
8 29
10 25.5
QUINELLA
8,10 304.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 143.5
4,10 121
8,10 108.5
FORECAST
8,10 818
TIERCE
8,10,4 6,729
TRIO
4,8,10 1,254
FIRST 4
4,8,10,13 8,549
QUARTET
8,10,4,13 180,682
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/8 1,010
10/10 179.5