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Sha Tin · 2026-01-21 · 19:15

SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:38.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY Closed strongly CP-/XB1/TT- 1:38.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · B Crawford 7 7.7 —
2 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly V M Guyon · K H Ting 12 7.7 3/4
3 4 RUN RUN TIMING Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT- R Kingscote · P F Yiu 8 7.7 2-1/4
4 13 ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 22.0 2-1/4
5 2 COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B-/XB C L Chau · K L Man 14 10.0 2-1/2
6 5 WISEMAN CP-/B2/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 9 25.0 3
7 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 20.0 4
8 6 JOLLY JUMPER Led early BO/SR1/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo 6 7.0 5-1/4
9 9 VERBIER SR-/B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 23.0 5-1/2
10 11 GO GO GO PC/TT H Bentley · W Y So 4 9.0 6
11 12 SUPREME WINNER CP2/SR2/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte 5 7.2 6-3/4
12 7 ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 11 9.0 13-1/4
13 14 MR ALADDIN H/PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 1 34.0 13-1/4
14 3 BIG STRIDE B-/PC1 J Orman · J Richards 2 43.0 20
— 0 I P O BROS B · Y S Tsui — — —
— 0 PODIUM B/TT · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 ("SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-21 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL HARMONY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by B Crawford, won, with PHANTOM CYCLONE second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 7.0 favourite JOLLY JUMPER finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CELESTIAL HARMONY—2. PHANTOM CYCLONE+0.75L3. RUN RUN TIMING+2.25L4. ALL EYES ON ME+2.25L5. COURIER MAGIC+2.5L6. WISEMAN+3L7. HAILTOTHEVICTORS+4L8. JOLLY JUMPER+5.25L9. VERBIER+5.5L10. GO GO GO+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RUN RUN TIMING (11.9%) finished 3rd — the winner CELESTIAL HARMONY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 RUN RUN TIMING 11.9% 8.44 3
2 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 10.1% 9.86 7
3 6 JOLLY JUMPER 9.4% 10.65 8
4 12 SUPREME WINNER 9.0% 11.17 11
5 11 GO GO GO 8.5% 11.79 10
6 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE 8.5% 11.81 2
7 2 COURIER MAGIC 8.1% 12.38 5
8 7 ATOMIC BEAUTY 8.1% 12.42 12
9 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY 7.6% 13.08 1
10 9 VERBIER 6.7% 14.92 9
11 5 WISEMAN 4.8% 20.66 6
12 14 MR ALADDIN 2.9% 34.59 13
13 3 BIG STRIDE 2.6% 38.73 14
14 13 ALL EYES ON ME 1.9% 51.91 4
RUN RUN TIMINGHAILTOTHEVICTORSJOLLY JUMPERSUPREME WINNERGO GO GOPHANTOM CYCLONECOURIER MAGICATOMIC BEAUTYCELESTIAL HARMONY — wonVERBIERWISEMANMR ALADDINBIG STRIDEALL EYES ON ME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 77.5

PLACE

4 26

8 29

10 25.5

QUINELLA

8,10 304.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 143.5

4,10 121

8,10 108.5

FORECAST

8,10 818

TIERCE

8,10,4 6,729

TRIO

4,8,10 1,254

FIRST 4

4,8,10,13 8,549

QUARTET

8,10,4,13 180,682

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/8 1,010

10/10 179.5