沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 11:15
SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-01-21沙田第2場「SILVERMINE BAY HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、B Crawford訓練的CELESTIAL HARMONY勝出。PHANTOM CYCLONE獲得亞軍；RUN RUN TIMING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。7.0倍大熱門JOLLY JUMPER跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY 後段發力 CP-/XB1/TT- 1:38.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 7 | 7.7 | — |
| 2 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE 後段發力 V M Guyon · K H Ting | M Guyon | K H Ting | 12 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING 後段發力 CP-/V1/TT- R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | ALL EYES ON ME 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | COURIER MAGIC 後段發力 B-/XB C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 14 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | WISEMAN CP-/B2/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 9 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS 後段發力 B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER 早段領放 BO/SR1/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 6 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VERBIER SR-/B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GO GO GO PC/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 9.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER CP2/SR2/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MR ALADDIN H/PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 34.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | BIG STRIDE B-/PC1 J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 2 | 43.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | I P O BROS B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PODIUM B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING | 11.9% | 8.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 10.1% | 9.86 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER | 9.4% | 10.65 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER | 9.0% | 11.17 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | GO GO GO | 8.5% | 11.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | COURIER MAGIC | 8.1% | 12.38 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 8.1% | 12.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 7.6% | 13.08 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | VERBIER | 6.7% | 14.92 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | WISEMAN | 4.8% | 20.66 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | MR ALADDIN | 2.9% | 34.59 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | BIG STRIDE | 2.6% | 38.73 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.9% | 51.91 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 77.5
PLACE
4 26
8 29
10 25.5
QUINELLA
8,10 304.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 143.5
4,10 121
8,10 108.5
FORECAST
8,10 818
TIERCE
8,10,4 6,729
TRIO
4,8,10 1,254
FIRST 4
4,8,10,13 8,549
QUARTET
8,10,4,13 180,682
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/8 1,010
10/10 179.5