沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 12:45
MARBLE HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-01-21沙田第5場「MARBLE HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Guyon策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的VULCANUS勝出。SUPREME SEA獲得亞軍；MR COOL獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門SUPREME SEA跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VULCANUS B 1:08.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME SEA L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 1.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | MR COOL TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 12 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CONRAD THE GREAT SR/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 5 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | QUICK MONEY XB/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 7 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | RISING ELITE H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | CIRCUIT HAPPY SR-/H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 112.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SHINYU KOKOROE P- D Probert · B Crawford | D Probert | B Crawford | 2 | 27.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK B J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 6 | 31.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MEGA BONUS V · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPREME SEA | 48.6% | 2.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MR COOL | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | VULCANUS | 9.4% | 10.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 6.1% | 16.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD | 5.2% | 19.29 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | SO MY FOLKS | 4.2% | 23.64 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | QUICK MONEY | 2.4% | 40.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | RISING ELITE | 1.9% | 51.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 1.8% | 54.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK | 1.8% | 55.81 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 1.4% | 70.66 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT HAPPY | 1.1% | 87.20 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 105
PLACE
1 10.5
2 18.5
3 16
QUINELLA
1,2 62
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 25
1,3 18.5
2,3 55
FORECAST
2,1 248
TIERCE
2,1,3 774
TRIO
1,2,3 74
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 112
QUARTET
2,1,3,9 4,800
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
10/6/1 52
10/6/2 1,470
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/1,2,3 909
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 11.5
6/2 307.5