沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 14:55
GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-01-21沙田第9場「GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由D B McMonagle策騎、P F Yiu訓練的DRAGON AIR FORCE勝出。SKY VINO獲得亞軍；ALLCASH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門SKY VINO跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE 後段發力 TT 1:38.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 12 | SKY VINO 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ALLCASH 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 14 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 3 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | STURDY RUBY 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DEFINITIVE B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | COLOURFUL GAN CP K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ARIEL 早段領放 B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 4 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FALLON 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN CP A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 後段發力 H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 138.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER B-/PC2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT P/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD | 17.9% | 5.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | ALLCASH | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | DEFINITIVE | 10.3% | 9.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SKY VINO | 9.7% | 10.29 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN | 7.7% | 13.07 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 7.2% | 13.91 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | STURDY RUBY | 4.7% | 21.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT | 4.3% | 23.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | FALLON | 3.5% | 28.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.1% | 32.02 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | ARIEL | 1.9% | 51.36 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.6% | 63.52 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR | 1.4% | 73.43 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 41
PLACE
5 16
12 16
13 16.5
QUINELLA
5,12 74
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 30
5,13 33
12,13 30.5
FORECAST
5,12 137
TIERCE
5,12,13 493
TRIO
5,12,13 83
FIRST 4
1,5,12,13 775
QUARTET
5,12,13,1 7,716
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
4,6/9/5 208
4,6/9/12 37
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/5,12,13 1,423
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 133
9/12 32
SIX UP
2,6/1,2/4,6/4,6,11/6,9/5,12 590
6/2/6/4,6/9/5 14,551
2 [A Atzeni] —
1 [C S Shum] —