沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 11:45
MARBLE HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-01-21沙田第3場「MARBLE HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的SPEEDY SMARTIE勝出。HERBAL STAR獲得亞軍；FLOWING RICHES獲得季軍。頭馬以4.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE 1:08.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 4.5 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HERBAL STAR J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLOWING RICHES CP E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | SWAGGER BRO V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | JUICY DRAGON B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 5.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | KING DANCE XB/B1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT V- M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 4.9 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 9 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | KINGDOM OF RICHES H/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 5 | 66.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GLACIATED B/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 2 | 9.9 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GRAND MASTERMIND CP1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 42.0 | 15-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SKY CAP B/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 14.9% | 6.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GLACIATED | 14.6% | 6.86 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA | 14.1% | 7.10 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | JUICY DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.09 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | KING DANCE | 10.4% | 9.59 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 7.7% | 12.92 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | SWAGGER BRO | 7.3% | 13.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | FLOWING RICHES | 6.6% | 15.11 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | GRAND MASTERMIND | 3.5% | 28.19 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | HERBAL STAR | 1.9% | 51.46 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | KINGDOM OF RICHES | 1.4% | 72.56 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 45.5
PLACE
1 67
3 43.5
10 18
QUINELLA
1,10 661
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 514.5
1,10 213
3,10 108
FORECAST
10,1 1,104
TIERCE
10,1,3 13,126
TRIO
1,3,10 3,161
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 7,159
QUARTET
10,1,3,7 192,974
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/1,3,10 478,590
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 350.5
8/10 609.5