沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 13:15
PO SHEK WU HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-01-21沙田第6場「PO SHEK WU HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的FOREVER FOLKS勝出。GOOD GOOD獲得亞軍；FIREFOOT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門FOREMOST TEDDY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B/TT 1:47.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 4 | GOOD GOOD B-/PC1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | FIREFOOT 後段發力 V/TT R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | VIVA TASTE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 B-/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 3.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | YODA'S CHOICE 早段領放 CP/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 8.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | STAR BROSE 後段發力 CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 V/XB/TT D B McMonagle · K L Man | D B McMonagle | K L Man | 14 | 36.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | VERMILION TEMPEST H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SERANGOON 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 35.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FIGHTING MACHINE B-/SR/PC1 J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 12 | 29.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THE AZURE · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TAKE ACTION B-/PC1 · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS | 17.4% | 5.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 15.9% | 6.30 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 13.4% | 7.47 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | STAR BROSE | 7.8% | 12.86 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | FIREFOOT | 7.8% | 12.89 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SERANGOON | 7.0% | 14.35 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | YODA'S CHOICE | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | VERMILION TEMPEST | 4.7% | 21.43 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 4.6% | 21.92 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | DOUBLE WIN | 4.1% | 24.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.2% | 31.06 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | GOOD GOOD | 3.1% | 32.58 | 2 |
| 13 | 9 | VIVA TASTE | 2.9% | 34.82 | 4 |
| 14 | 5 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 2.8% | 35.74 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 39
PLACE
4 56.5
6 19
11 28
QUINELLA
4,6 457.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 142
4,11 190.5
6,11 68
FORECAST
6,4 667
TIERCE
6,4,11 5,983
TRIO
4,6,11 1,216
FIRST 4
4,6,9,11 4,093
QUARTET
6,4,11,9 83,307
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 519.5
2/6 708