沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 13:45
DIAMOND HILL HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-01-21沙田第7場「DIAMOND HILL HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、J Size訓練的SIGHT DREAMER勝出。NIGHT PUROSANGUE獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA STAR獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT DREAMER 一路領先 TT 1:38.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE 後段發力 CP M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA STAR 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | LESLIE 後段發力 B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS 後段發力 TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | NOT USUAL PICK 後段發力 TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 113.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | MEGA FORCE 後段發力 B-/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 46.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 11 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPERB GUY TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 13 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 14 | 22.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B D B McMonagle · C H Yip | D B McMonagle | C H Yip | 7 | 89.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | SANDMAN B/TT D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 12 | 107.0 | 42-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT DREAMER | 24.5% | 4.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 21.4% | 4.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND | 10.9% | 9.22 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 9.7% | 10.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 6.2% | 16.11 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | MEGA FORCE | 4.9% | 20.37 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | SUPERB GUY | 4.8% | 20.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | LESLIE | 4.7% | 21.24 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 4.5% | 22.45 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | NEVER PETER OUT | 4.1% | 24.44 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM | 1.8% | 56.67 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SANDMAN | 1.3% | 75.30 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | NOT USUAL PICK | 1.3% | 75.76 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 20
PLACE
6 11.5
8 14.5
11 22
QUINELLA
6,11 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 19.5
6,11 32
8,11 59.5
FORECAST
6,11 127
TIERCE
6,11,8 350
TRIO
6,8,11 91
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 301
QUARTET
6,11,8,9 3,875
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/4,6,8,11 7,498
6TH DOUBLE
6/4,6 92
6/11 100
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,3/4,6,11/4,6,8,11 73,723
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/4,6,11/Any Combination 1,474