沙田 · 2026-01-21 · 10:45
KAM SHAN HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-01-21沙田第1場「KAM SHAN HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、J Size訓練的NOBLE DELUXE勝出。ONLY U獲得亞軍；MACANESE MASTER獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門ROBOT KNIGHT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P1/TT 1:09.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 7.3 | — |
| 2 | 6 | ONLY U B/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER V M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT V1/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 1 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GENERAL SMART CP/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SONIC BOOM V/TT M Guyon · W K Mo | M Guyon | W K Mo | 7 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG STRIKER B1/TT D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 11 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER TT D B McMonagle · K W Lui | D B McMonagle | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | RICH HORSE XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 12 | 34.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GENERAL SMART | 17.3% | 5.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 15.9% | 6.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ONLY U | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 11.3% | 8.86 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | EXCEED THE WISH | 8.3% | 12.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | RICH HORSE | 3.6% | 27.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.8% | 35.82 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER | 2.2% | 45.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN | 2.2% | 46.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | YOUNG STRIKER | 2.1% | 46.69 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 73.5
PLACE
6 24.5
10 28.5
11 25
QUINELLA
6,10 377
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 120
6,11 138
10,11 118.5
FORECAST
10,6 722
TIERCE
10,6,11 6,636
TRIO
6,10,11 1,065
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 4,430
QUARTET
10,6,11,9 98,616