Sha Tin · 2026-01-21 · 14:55
GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-21 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON AIR FORCE, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SKY VINO second and ALLCASH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SKY VINO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE Closed strongly TT 1:38.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 12 | SKY VINO Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ALLCASH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 14 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 3 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DEFINITIVE B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | COLOURFUL GAN CP K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ARIEL Led early B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 4 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN CP A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR Closed strongly H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 138.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER B-/PC2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT P/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD | 17.9% | 5.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | ALLCASH | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | DEFINITIVE | 10.3% | 9.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SKY VINO | 9.7% | 10.29 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER UNICORN | 7.7% | 13.07 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 7.2% | 13.91 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | STURDY RUBY | 4.7% | 21.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT | 4.3% | 23.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | FALLON | 3.5% | 28.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.1% | 32.02 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | ARIEL | 1.9% | 51.36 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.6% | 63.52 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR | 1.4% | 73.43 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 41
PLACE
5 16
12 16
13 16.5
QUINELLA
5,12 74
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 30
5,13 33
12,13 30.5
FORECAST
5,12 137
TIERCE
5,12,13 493
TRIO
5,12,13 83
FIRST 4
1,5,12,13 775
QUARTET
5,12,13,1 7,716
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4,6/9/5 208
4,6/9/12 37
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/5,12,13 1,423
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 133
9/12 32
SIX UP
2,6/1,2/4,6/4,6,11/6,9/5,12 590
6/2/6/4,6/9/5 14,551
2 [A Atzeni] —
1 [C S Shum] —