Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-21 · 22:55

GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:38.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 DRAGON AIR FORCE Closed strongly TT 1:38.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · P F Yiu 2 4.1 —
2 12 SKY VINO Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 6 3.4 3/4
3 13 ALLCASH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 5 3.9 2
4 1 TELECOM FIGHTERS M Guyon · Y S Tsui 14 33.0 2-1/4
5 4 ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip 3 5.6 3
6 9 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 7 51.0 3-1/4
7 2 DEFINITIVE B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 25.0 3-1/2
8 8 TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng 10 63.0 5-1/4
9 14 COLOURFUL GAN CP K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 108.0 5-3/4
10 10 ARIEL Led early B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes 4 24.0 5-3/4
11 3 FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 9 60.0 6-1/4
12 7 SUPER UNICORN CP A Atzeni · M Newnham 12 37.0 7-3/4
13 11 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR Closed strongly H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 8 138.0 8-3/4
14 6 YOUNG ACHIEVER B-/PC2/TT H Bentley · J Richards 11 25.0 10-3/4
— 0 RELIABLE PROFIT P/TT · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 ("GREEN ISLAND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-21 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON AIR FORCE, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SKY VINO second and ALLCASH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SKY VINO finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DRAGON AIR FORCE—2. SKY VINO+0.75L3. ALLCASH+2L4. TELECOM FIGHTERS+2.25L5. ANOTHER WORLD+3L6. STURDY RUBY+3.25L7. DEFINITIVE+3.5L8. TURIN MASCOT+5.25L9. COLOURFUL GAN+5.75L10. ARIEL+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ANOTHER WORLD (17.9%) finished 5th — the winner DRAGON AIR FORCE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 ANOTHER WORLD 17.9% 5.60 5
2 13 ALLCASH 15.2% 6.59 3
3 5 DRAGON AIR FORCE 11.6% 8.59 1
4 2 DEFINITIVE 10.3% 9.70 7
5 12 SKY VINO 9.7% 10.29 2
6 7 SUPER UNICORN 7.7% 13.07 12
7 6 YOUNG ACHIEVER 7.2% 13.91 14
8 9 STURDY RUBY 4.7% 21.39 6
9 8 TURIN MASCOT 4.3% 23.49 8
10 3 FALLON 3.5% 28.45 11
11 1 TELECOM FIGHTERS 3.1% 32.02 4
12 10 ARIEL 1.9% 51.36 10
13 14 COLOURFUL GAN 1.6% 63.52 9
14 11 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.4% 73.43 13
ANOTHER WORLDALLCASHDRAGON AIR FORCE — wonDEFINITIVESKY VINOSUPER UNICORNYOUNG ACHIEVERSTURDY RUBYTURIN MASCOTFALLONTELECOM FIGHTERSARIELCOLOURFUL GANPRESTIGE SUPERIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 41

PLACE

5 16

12 16

13 16.5

QUINELLA

5,12 74

QUINELLA PLACE

5,12 30

5,13 33

12,13 30.5

FORECAST

5,12 137

TIERCE

5,12,13 493

TRIO

5,12,13 83

FIRST 4

1,5,12,13 775

QUARTET

5,12,13,1 7,716

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

4,6/9/5 208

4,6/9/12 37

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

6,9,12/5,12,13 1,423

8TH DOUBLE

9/5 133

9/12 32

SIX UP

2,6/1,2/4,6/4,6,11/6,9/5,12 590

6/2/6/4,6/9/5 14,551

2 [A Atzeni] —

1 [C S Shum] —