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Happy Valley · 2026-02-04 · 11:05

WANG TAK HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 2 ("WANG TAK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VICTOR THE RAPID, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P C Ng, won, with JOLLY COMPANION second and GIANT BALLON third. The 3.3 favourite FATAL BLOW finished 6th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT 1:09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P C Ng 4 7.3
2 6 JOLLY COMPANION B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 1 4.4 1/2
3 4 GIANT BALLON CP/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 11 5.2 1-1/4
4 12 POWER SUMMIT CP K Teetan · D Eustace 5 30.0 2
5 3 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 7 62.0 2-1/2
6 1 FATAL BLOW B/TT H Bowman · M Newnham 3 3.3 2-3/4
7 7 LOVING VIBES B M Guyon · K W Lui 6 7.0 3-3/4
8 8 PRIDE BELIEVER A Badel · D J Hall 8 55.0 4-1/2
9 5 MAJESTIC LIFE TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 55.0 4-3/4
10 9 FLASH STAR H/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 12 25.0 6-1/4
11 10 GIMME FIVE B D Probert · F C Lor 2 13.0 6-1/4
12 11 NAMJONG KINGDOM SR/TT L Hewitson · W Y So 9 84.0 12-1/4
0 WINNING CIGAR CP · D A Hayes
0 ZHOU GONGJIN B · B Crawford

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VICTOR THE RAPID2. JOLLY COMPANION+0.5L3. GIANT BALLON+1.25L4. POWER SUMMIT+2L5. FORTUNE SUPERNOVA+2.5L6. FATAL BLOW+2.75L7. LOVING VIBES+3.75L8. PRIDE BELIEVER+4.5L9. MAJESTIC LIFE+4.75L10. FLASH STAR+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LOVING VIBES (23.8%) finished 7th — the winner VICTOR THE RAPID was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 LOVING VIBES 23.8% 4.20 7
2 4 GIANT BALLON 19.5% 5.12 3
3 1 FATAL BLOW 14.6% 6.87 6
4 6 JOLLY COMPANION 11.2% 8.90 2
5 2 VICTOR THE RAPID 9.9% 10.06 1
6 9 FLASH STAR 5.1% 19.73 10
7 10 GIMME FIVE 4.3% 23.28 11
8 12 POWER SUMMIT 4.1% 24.48 4
9 11 NAMJONG KINGDOM 2.4% 41.15 12
10 3 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 1.9% 51.61 5
11 8 PRIDE BELIEVER 1.8% 55.35 8
12 5 MAJESTIC LIFE 1.3% 75.66 9
LOVING VIBESGIANT BALLONFATAL BLOWJOLLY COMPANIONVICTOR THE RAPID — wonFLASH STARGIMME FIVEPOWER SUMMITNAMJONG KINGDOMFORTUNE SUPERNOVAPRIDE BELIEVERMAJESTIC LIFE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 73.5

PLACE

2 22

4 18

6 16.5

QUINELLA

2,6 152.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 60.5

2,6 58.5

4,6 44

FORECAST

2,6 371

TIERCE

2,6,4 1,958

TRIO

2,4,6 299

FIRST 4

2,4,6,12 1,331

QUARTET

2,6,4,12 20,778

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/2 578

7/6 68.5