Happy Valley · 2026-02-04 · 15:00
TSUI MAN HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("TSUI MAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CORLEONE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won, with VIVA GRACIOUSNESS second and URANUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CORLEONE Closed strongly TT 1:39.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 8 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | URANUS STAR Led early XB1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly TT M Guyon · W K Mo | M Guyon | W K Mo | 1 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | KEEFY Closed strongly M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 9.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 7 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY V/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 6 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | ALLCASH B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | KING OF SELECTION Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 9 | 130.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FAMILY KNIGHT CP-/E1/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | REAL GENTLEMAN CP/H/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CORLEONE | 44.7% | 2.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | FORTUNATE SON | 12.8% | 7.79 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | ALLCASH | 10.0% | 9.99 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA | 6.4% | 15.57 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 4.8% | 20.96 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.25 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | URANUS STAR | 4.4% | 22.64 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER UNICORN | 3.7% | 26.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | KEEFY | 3.2% | 30.88 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 2.6% | 38.78 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.7% | 57.80 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | KING OF SELECTION | 0.9% | 114.04 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21
PLACE
3 44
5 13
8 22.5
QUINELLA
5,8 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 67.5
3,8 276.5
5,8 48.5
FORECAST
5,8 166
TIERCE
5,8,3 1,828
TRIO
3,5,8 451
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 419
QUARTET
5,8,3,6 7,081
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/1/5 5,485
1/1/8 3,856
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/3,5,8 50,387
8TH DOUBLE
1/5 297
1/8 115.5
SIX UP
7,12/8,12/4,5/1,9/1,11/5,8 15,570
12/8/5/1/1/5 565,722
6 [A Atzeni] —
1 [C Fownes] —