Happy Valley · 2026-02-04 · 14:15
BLUE POOL HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("BLUE POOL HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-04 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY WAVES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won, with YOUNG CHAMPION second and BRAVE STAR third. The 2.8 favourite STORM RIDER finished 7th.
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY WAVES TT 1:08.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | YOUNG CHAMPION B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | REGAL GEM K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | STORM RIDER H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT H Bentley · B Crawford | H Bentley | B Crawford | 5 | 33.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 12 | ALL OUT FOR SIX XB- A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STORM RIDER | 39.4% | 2.54 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BRAVE STAR | 13.3% | 7.52 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | REGAL GEM | 13.2% | 7.55 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY WAVES | 7.7% | 12.93 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | BABY CRYSTAL | 6.0% | 16.55 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 5.7% | 17.58 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SON PAK FU | 4.7% | 21.45 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 3.7% | 27.12 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 3.3% | 29.92 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 2.9% | 34.78 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 79.5
PLACE
1 27
6 21.5
11 20
QUINELLA
1,11 215
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 96
1,11 77
6,11 62
FORECAST
1,11 445
TIERCE
1,11,6 3,335
TRIO
1,6,11 651
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 634
QUARTET
1,11,6,8 17,046
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 2,785.5
1/11 484