Happy Valley · 2026-02-04 · 12:05
YUK SAU HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("YUK SAU HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-04 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STORM RUNNER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with TAKE ACTION second and HAKKA RADIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite AMAZING GAZE finished 8th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly PC1/TT 1:48.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 5.6 | — |
| 2 | 7 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 5.8 | — |
| 3 | 9 | SMART CITY CP/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 28.0 | — |
| 5 | 1 | YOUNG BRAVO Closed strongly CP/XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 4 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING GAZE CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FLOOF K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | NEARLY FINE CP-/B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT M Guyon · F C Lor | M Guyon | F C Lor | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 6 | 71.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON CP/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CHARITY TOGETHER CP/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AMAZING GAZE | 18.6% | 5.39 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | STORM RUNNER | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | OCEAN IMPACT | 12.0% | 8.30 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | TAKE ACTION | 8.1% | 12.29 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUNG BRAVO | 8.1% | 12.38 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART CITY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | NEARLY FINE | 5.3% | 19.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.2% | 19.29 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.7% | 21.39 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | FLOOF | 2.6% | 37.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 1.6% | 63.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 56
PLACE
4 10.5
7 38.5
9 36
12 17.5
QUINELLA
7,12 292.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 55.5
4,9 109
4,12 26
7,9 176
7,12 106
9,12 103
FORECAST
12,7 619
TIERCE
12,7,4 2,528
12,7,9 4,364
TRIO
4,7,12 468
7,9,12 1,228
FIRST 4
4,7,9,12 4,205
QUARTET
12,7,4,9 32,604
12,7,9,4 38,673
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/7 403.5
7/12 1,091