Happy Valley · 2026-02-04 · 11:35
SHAN KWONG HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("SHAN KWONG HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-04 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AWESOME FLUKE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and HUGE WAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SILVERY BREEZE finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly P/TT 1:37.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 18.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB-/TT1 M Guyon · D A Hayes | M Guyon | D A Hayes | 7 | 8.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 2.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HELENE FEELING B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | NEW FOREST Led early TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 18.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 26.2% | 3.82 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | SILVERY BREEZE | 23.1% | 4.32 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | NEW FOREST | 14.5% | 6.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HUGE WAVE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 8.3% | 12.04 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | AWESOME FLUKE | 4.8% | 20.84 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 4.0% | 24.82 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 187
PLACE
3 15.5
6 22.5
7 42
QUINELLA
6,7 565.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 52
3,7 98
6,7 144
FORECAST
7,6 1,082
TIERCE
7,6,3 5,868
TRIO
3,6,7 662
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 325
QUARTET
7,6,3,8 15,762
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,6,7 22,074
2ND DOUBLE
2/6 91
2/7 1,311