沙田 · 2019-09-01
第 2場
2019-09-01沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Bayliss策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ADONIS勝出，贏出2-1/2。KWAI CHUNG ELITE獲得亞軍；GOLDEN CANNON獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門LEISURED FEET跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ADONIS PC-/H/P2 1.09.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Bayliss · D J Whyte | R Bayliss | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 13 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GOLDEN CANNON B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | LEISURED FEET SR1/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | NEVER BETTER B/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BLADE RACER G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 5 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | CURLING LUXURY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SKY GEM A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 8 | 86.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HARBOUR CENTURY B/TT C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 7 | 6.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR CP/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY COOPERATION H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | RICHCITY FORTUNE H/XB/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | MY DEAR B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NEVER BETTER | 11.5% | 8.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR | 9.5% | 10.55 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | RICHCITY FORTUNE | 9.4% | 10.68 | 13 |
| 4 | 14 | LEISURED FEET | 9.0% | 11.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HARBOUR CENTURY | 8.8% | 11.33 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 8.6% | 11.68 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 8.4% | 11.86 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | ADONIS | 8.2% | 12.15 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY COOPERATION | 7.1% | 14.11 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | MY DEAR | 6.2% | 16.04 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN CANNON | 5.4% | 18.46 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.2% | 31.59 | 8 |
| 13 | 1 | BLADE RACER | 2.5% | 39.24 | 6 |
| 14 | 10 | SKY GEM | 2.2% | 46.15 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 67
PLACE
2 34.5
8 71
13 27.5
QUINELLA
2,13 476
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 574.5
2,13 170.5
8,13 340.5
TIERCE
13,2,8 11,642
TRIO
2,8,13 3,096
FIRST 4
2,8,13,14 3,525
QUARTET
13,2,8,14 86,477
1ST DOUBLE
3/2 86.5
3/13 136
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 33
A3 —
A2 —