沙田 · 2019-09-01
第 6場
2019-09-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、T P Yung訓練的KA YING MASTER勝出，贏出N。DANCING FIGHTER獲得亞軍；SUNSHINE UNIVERSE獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門DANCING FIGHTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING MASTER TT 0.57.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 8.3 | N |
| 2 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER SR1/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 8 | 2.2 | N |
| 3 | 5 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BRIGHT KID B/XB/TT- A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 5 | 41.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER WINNER M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 103.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 6 | 184.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | EPTIWINS B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 7 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | WINNING WAYS B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 9.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | ALLIED AGILITY CP1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 13 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE H1 U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 4 | 242.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | BRAVERY AND POWER CP/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 270.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | U W BROTHER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 80.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | PLANET NICCONI TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 231.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER | 33.4% | 2.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ALLIED AGILITY | 19.7% | 5.09 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | KA YING MASTER | 15.5% | 6.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | BRIGHT KID | 5.8% | 17.13 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE | 5.1% | 19.65 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 4.5% | 22.13 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | EPTIWINS | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER WINNER | 3.4% | 29.11 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | WINNING WAYS | 2.3% | 44.04 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | U W BROTHER | 2.2% | 46.18 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 1.5% | 68.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | WINNING TOGETHER | 1.3% | 75.84 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | PLANET NICCONI | 0.6% | 166.17 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 0.5% | 212.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 83
PLACE
1 10.5
4 21.5
5 35
QUINELLA
1,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 31.5
1,5 62
4,5 115
TIERCE
4,1,5 1,218
TRIO
1,4,5 203
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 1,226
QUARTET
4,1,5,6 22,097
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 40.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 21
6/4 255
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,10/3,6,11/1,4,5 4,655,623
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,10/3,6,11/Any Combination 12,603