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Sha Tin · 2019-09-01

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course B 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KA YING MASTER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with DANCING FIGHTER second and SUNSHINE UNIVERSE third. The 2.2 favourite DANCING FIGHTER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.57.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 KA YING MASTER TT 0.57.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · T P Yung 3 8.3 N
2 1 DANCING FIGHTER SR1/TT Z Purton · C Fownes 8 2.2 N
3 5 SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B K H Chan · R Gibson 11 15.0 1-1/4
4 6 BRIGHT KID B/XB/TT- A Sanna · D J Whyte 5 41.0 1-1/2
5 10 SUPER WINNER M F Poon · C H Yip 9 103.0 2
6 9 ALL TIMES GRATEFUL T H So · C H Yip 6 184.0 2-3/4
7 7 EPTIWINS B Shinn · L Ho 7 13.0 3-3/4
8 13 WINNING WAYS B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard 12 9.8 4
9 2 ALLIED AGILITY CP1 J Moreira · P F Yiu 13 3.1 4-3/4
10 8 WINNING TOGETHER B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang 2 77.0 5-1/4
11 11 WHO'S HORSE H1 U Rispoli · K H Ting 4 242.0 5-1/4
12 3 BRAVERY AND POWER CP/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris 1 270.0 5-3/4
13 12 U W BROTHER K C Leung · Y S Tsui 14 80.0 6-1/2
14 14 PLANET NICCONI TT H N Wong · W Y So 10 231.0 8-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING MASTER2. DANCING FIGHTER+0.05L3. SUNSHINE UNIVERSE+1.25L4. BRIGHT KID+1.5L5. SUPER WINNER+2L6. ALL TIMES GRATEFUL+2.75L7. EPTIWINS+3.75L8. WINNING WAYS+4L9. ALLIED AGILITY+4.75L10. WINNING TOGETHER+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DANCING FIGHTER (33.4%) finished 2nd — the winner KA YING MASTER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DANCING FIGHTER 33.4% 2.99 2
2 2 ALLIED AGILITY 19.7% 5.09 9
3 4 KA YING MASTER 15.5% 6.44 1
4 6 BRIGHT KID 5.8% 17.13 4
5 11 WHO'S HORSE 5.1% 19.65 11
6 5 SUNSHINE UNIVERSE 4.5% 22.13 3
7 7 EPTIWINS 4.2% 23.84 7
8 10 SUPER WINNER 3.4% 29.11 5
9 13 WINNING WAYS 2.3% 44.04 8
10 12 U W BROTHER 2.2% 46.18 13
11 9 ALL TIMES GRATEFUL 1.5% 68.77 6
12 8 WINNING TOGETHER 1.3% 75.84 10
13 14 PLANET NICCONI 0.6% 166.17 14
14 3 BRAVERY AND POWER 0.5% 212.81 12
DANCING FIGHTERALLIED AGILITYKA YING MASTER — wonBRIGHT KIDWHO'S HORSESUNSHINE UNIVERSEEPTIWINSSUPER WINNERWINNING WAYSU W BROTHERALL TIMES GRATEFULWINNING TOGETHERPLANET NICCONIBRAVERY AND POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 83

PLACE

1 10.5

4 21.5

5 35

QUINELLA

1,4 83.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 31.5

1,5 62

4,5 115

TIERCE

4,1,5 1,218

TRIO

1,4,5 203

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 1,226

QUARTET

4,1,5,6 22,097

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 40.5

All pools (3 more)

5TH DOUBLE

6/1 21

6/4 255

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,10/3,6,11/1,4,5 4,655,623

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,10/3,6,11/Any Combination 12,603