Sha Tin · 2019-09-01
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLD CHEST, ridden by K C Leung and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with FAST MOST FURIOUS second and BEAUTY SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite EASY GO EASY WIN finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLD CHEST Closed strongly CP-/TT1 1.21.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 3 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE Closed strongly SR1/TT1 J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 6 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | MAGIC LEGEND CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 7 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | MORETHANLUCKY B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 11 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | KING OPIE V G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 2 | 5.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | EASY GO EASY WIN B/XB/TT- Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 3.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | KASI FARASI Led early H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD TT1 B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 9 | 66.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | PERFECT GLORY K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 123.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 19.7% | 5.08 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | KING OPIE | 16.6% | 6.04 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | KASI FARASI | 9.8% | 10.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 9.3% | 10.80 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 8.5% | 11.76 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | MAGIC LEGEND | 7.6% | 13.24 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 7.5% | 13.33 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | MORETHANLUCKY | 6.7% | 14.97 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MONGOLIAN KING | 4.5% | 22.39 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.6% | 27.44 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | PERFECT GLORY | 3.6% | 28.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLD CHEST | 2.8% | 36.20 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 294
PLACE
2 21
8 35.5
10 62
QUINELLA
2,10 965.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 118
2,10 263.5
8,10 464
TIERCE
10,2,8 22,032
TRIO
2,8,10 3,109
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 7,103
QUARTET
10,2,8,9 179,103
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 34
3/10 1,101