Sha Tin · 2019-09-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 2.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly V-/B2/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 7 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LE PANACHE B A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD VELVET Closed strongly B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY Led early H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WICKER B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 9 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | WHAMPOA STAR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY B2 M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 2 | 21.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOOD RUNNERS WAY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with REGENCY GEM second and PROUD SKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 33.4% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 17.1% | 5.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 13.3% | 7.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD VELVET | 9.6% | 10.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | WHAMPOA STAR | 5.6% | 17.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 4.3% | 23.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | WICKER | 3.9% | 25.45 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | LE PANACHE | 1.8% | 57.04 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 22
PLACE
3 11
4 18.5
7 38
QUINELLA
3,4 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 23
3,7 55
4,7 129
TIERCE
3,4,7 702
TRIO
3,4,7 210
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 195
QUARTET
3,4,7,2 3,065
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —