Sha Tin · 2019-09-01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. REGENCY LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with SEASONS BLOOM second and JOLLY BANNER third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REGENCY LEGEND TT 1.08.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SEASONS BLOOM TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 1 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | JOLLY BANNER B2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | STYLING CITY B J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 2 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 4 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNER'S WAY CP2/TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 3 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | CALIFORNIA FORTUNE B/TT A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 6 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REGENCY LEGEND | 36.0% | 2.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | STYLING CITY | 35.1% | 2.85 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER | 9.9% | 10.08 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | SEASONS BLOOM | 6.0% | 16.61 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA FORTUNE | 4.9% | 20.28 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | JOLLY BANNER | 4.5% | 22.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNER'S WAY | 3.6% | 28.05 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 16
PLACE
2 16.5
5 10.1
6 66
QUINELLA
2,5 42
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 20.5
2,6 264.5
5,6 102
TIERCE
5,2,6 969
TRIO
2,5,6 365
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 143
QUARTET
5,2,6,7 2,032
2ND DOUBLE
13/2 88
13/5 135
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —