Sha Tin · 2019-09-01
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MULTIMILLION, ridden by K H Chan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with SUPER JUNIOR second and WAR ROOM third. The 1.6 favourite WINNING METHOD finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MULTIMILLION B/TT 0.56.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 3 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | WAR ROOM B- B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | JING JING WIN CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MIGHTY MAVERICK PC/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GENTLE BREEZE B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING METHOD TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 1.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | DIVINE UNICORN A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 6 | 175.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | FAIRY TWINS TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARISMA CP/TT1 G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 8 | 28.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MR RIGHT H2/P2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 1 | 143.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING METHOD | 44.1% | 2.27 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | MULTIMILLION | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER JUNIOR | 8.8% | 11.36 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | GENTLE BREEZE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | JING JING WIN | 6.1% | 16.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | MIGHTY MAVERICK | 4.1% | 24.29 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 4.1% | 24.52 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARISMA | 3.7% | 27.37 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | FAIRY TWINS | 2.9% | 34.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MR RIGHT | 2.7% | 36.99 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | WAR ROOM | 1.7% | 58.53 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | DIVINE UNICORN | 0.7% | 148.84 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 131.5
PLACE
1 26.5
4 49
8 21.5
QUINELLA
1,8 477.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 327.5
1,8 116
4,8 245.5
TIERCE
1,8,4 25,303
TRIO
1,4,8 3,220
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 2,248
QUARTET
1,8,4,3 73,426
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 42
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
10/1 3,141
10/8 460.5