Sha Tin · 2019-09-01

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MR CROISSANT second and NEW ASIA SUNRISE third. The 1.9 favourite MR CROISSANT finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.47

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	3	GOLDEN SIXTY 1.08.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	8	130 lb	4.7	1-1/4
2	6	MR CROISSANT Z Purton · W Y So	Z Purton	W Y So	6	126 lb	1.9	1-1/4
3	7	NEW ASIA SUNRISE L Hewitson · Y S Tsui	L Hewitson	Y S Tsui	5	125 lb	25.0	2-1/2
4	4	HAPPY FUN B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum	H W Lai	C S Shum	1	129 lb	5.0	3
5	2	MY DARLING M Chadwick · T P Yung	M Chadwick	T P Yung	7	133 lb	16.0	3
6	1	INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT K Teetan · J Size	K Teetan	J Size	9	133 lb	44.0	3-1/4
7	5	MR ALDAN B/TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz	A Domeyer	A S Cruz	2	126 lb	96.0	4-1/2
8	9	SHIMMER AND SHINE B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes	J Moreira	C Fownes	4	117 lb	7.3	5-1/2
9	8	WON WON TOO TT H T Mo · C H Yip	H T Mo	C H Yip	3	117 lb	232.0	10-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20

The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (23.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	3	GOLDEN SIXTY	23.8%	4.20	1	4.7
2	6	MR CROISSANT	23.2%	4.31	2	1.9
3	9	SHIMMER AND SHINE	15.9%	6.29	8	7.3
4	4	HAPPY FUN	10.6%	9.42	4	5.0
5	1	INFINITY ENDEAVOUR	8.6%	11.58	6	44.0
6	7	NEW ASIA SUNRISE	8.0%	12.58	3	25.0
7	2	MY DARLING	5.7%	17.52	5	16.0
8	5	MR ALDAN	2.9%	34.12	7	96.0
9	8	WON WON TOO	1.3%	78.41	9	232.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 47.5

PLACE

3 14.5

6 10.1

7 45

QUINELLA

3,6 35.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 17.5

3,7 94.5

6,7 58.5

TIERCE

3,6,7 809

TRIO

3,6,7 166

FIRST 4

3,4,6,7 150

QUARTET

3,6,7,4 3,224

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,5/3,6,7 3,398

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 18

A3 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

4/3 214

4/6 27

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