沙田 · 2019-10-20
第 6場
2019-10-20沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由G van Niekerk策騎、P F Yiu訓練的EMERALD SPUR勝出，贏出3/4。SUNSHINE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；TELECOM ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門FALCON TURBO跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EMERALD SPUR 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 14 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR 後段發力 CP1/TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET 後段發力 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION 後段發力 B-/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 2 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | GREAT HARVEST 早段領放 B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | EPTIWINS 後段發力 H/XB B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 7 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | FALCON TURBO B Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SEVENTY SEVENTY K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 13 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | AEROFLASH N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 96.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | MOMENTUM HAPPY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | CHEEKY BEE 後段發力 B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 11 | 165.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | HURRICANE HUNTER J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | POLYMER LUCK B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 73.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MARQULA N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 17.0% | 5.90 | 13 |
| 2 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 16.3% | 6.15 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | EMERALD SPUR | 13.7% | 7.32 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.7% | 8.54 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SPRINT FORWARD | 8.8% | 11.40 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | SEVENTY SEVENTY | 6.8% | 14.68 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 6.5% | 15.34 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION | 4.6% | 21.86 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET | 4.2% | 23.64 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | EPTIWINS | 3.4% | 29.49 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | GREAT HARVEST | 2.3% | 44.26 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | POLYMER LUCK | 2.0% | 49.08 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | CHEEKY BEE | 1.6% | 61.92 | 12 |
| 14 | 2 | AEROFLASH | 1.2% | 84.68 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 79
PLACE
3 31
7 24
12 18
QUINELLA
3,7 379
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 120
3,12 76
7,12 69.5
TIERCE
7,3,12 3,475
TRIO
3,7,12 476
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 3,835
QUARTET
7,3,12,9 78,056
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 130.5
3/7 741.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,6,10/3,6,10/3,7,12 2,148,603
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,10/3,6,10/Any Combination 7,691