沙田 · 2019-10-20
第 2場
2019-10-20沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K H Chan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的BIG FORTUNE勝出，贏出3/4。QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得亞軍；SUPER ALLIANCES獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門QUADRUPLE DOUBLE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB1 1.08.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | YICHUN BLITZ B J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 14 | 5.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 6.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 257.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | IRISH VEGA B-/TT- T H So · C Fownes | T H So | C Fownes | 5 | 75.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RICH AND LUCKY H1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 41.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MENAGGIO A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 8 | 118.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | TARGET FINDER H/XB2 N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 10 | 285.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 112.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 39.0 | 44-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR | 24.6% | 4.06 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | YICHUN BLITZ | 17.6% | 5.69 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | BIG FORTUNE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 11.4% | 8.77 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | MASTER ALBERT | 7.4% | 13.53 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 5.8% | 17.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 5.0% | 19.91 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | RICH AND LUCKY | 3.9% | 25.47 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP | 2.8% | 35.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD | 2.5% | 40.54 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | IRISH VEGA | 2.3% | 43.19 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | MENAGGIO | 1.9% | 53.48 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.8% | 54.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | TARGET FINDER | 0.9% | 113.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 46
PLACE
1 17.5
3 13
9 37.5
QUINELLA
1,3 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 31
1,9 92
3,9 77
TIERCE
1,3,9 1,170
TRIO
1,3,9 209
FIRST 4
1,3,9,13 747
QUARTET
1,3,9,13 10,598
1ST DOUBLE
9/1 363
9/3 72.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —