沙田 · 2019-10-20
第 4場
2019-10-20沙田第4場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K H Chan策騎、D J Hall訓練的MR LUMIERES勝出，贏出N。MERIDIAN GENIUS獲得亞軍；HIGHLY PROACTIVE獲得季軍。1.4倍大熱門CLASSIC UNICORN跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MR LUMIERES 0.55.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 6 | 40.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 7 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 6 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H1 A Domeyer · K W Lui | A Domeyer | K W Lui | 13 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SHINING GEM CP G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 1.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY VICTORY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 117.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HEALTHY LUCK XB-/B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 65.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING FEELING L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 9 | 119.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | MR RIGHT H/P T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 12 | 282.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT CP1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 82.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 45.6% | 2.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 24.1% | 4.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | MR LUMIERES | 6.3% | 15.81 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER JUNIOR | 5.5% | 18.29 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 3.3% | 30.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 3.2% | 31.19 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 3.0% | 33.35 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | HEALTHY LUCK | 2.6% | 39.19 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER | 2.1% | 48.11 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | SHINING GEM | 1.8% | 56.05 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY VICTORY | 1.3% | 78.37 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | MR RIGHT | 0.9% | 113.75 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | WINNING FEELING | 0.4% | 234.71 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 405.5
PLACE
4 51
6 25
10 13.5
QUINELLA
4,10 742
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 308
4,10 147.5
6,10 50.5
TIERCE
4,10,6 14,575
TRIO
4,6,10 1,765
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 3,955
QUARTET
4,10,6,11 98,941
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/4,6,10 37,293
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 75
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/4 2,219
5/10 92