沙田 · 2019-10-20
第 1場
2019-10-20沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由U Rispoli策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的BLAZING PARTNERS勝出，贏出N。VICTORIOUS LEADER獲得亞軍；EVERYONE'S ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門VICTORIOUS LEADER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 1.21.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 11 | 7.8 | N |
| 2 | 14 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 5 | EVERYONE'S ELITE 後段發力 B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BLOOMING SPIRIT CP1/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | BIG BULLY B N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 9 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE 後段發力 B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR XB2 A Domeyer · C Fownes | A Domeyer | C Fownes | 8 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | I'M THE CONQUIST M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HARBOUR CENTURY 後段發力 B/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING NOBLE 早段領放 CP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 45.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | KING MORTAR V T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 2 | 66.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SUPREME WITNESS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 13.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | IRON BRAVO CP1/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 6 | 125.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | DIVINE POWER H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 24.9% | 4.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 13.3% | 7.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | BIG BULLY | 11.0% | 9.12 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 8.5% | 11.74 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 6.4% | 15.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | HARBOUR CENTURY | 5.9% | 17.06 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPREME WITNESS | 5.8% | 17.34 | 13 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING NOBLE | 5.7% | 17.66 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.5% | 18.23 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 3.8% | 26.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 3.1% | 31.93 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR | 3.0% | 33.48 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | IRON BRAVO | 2.1% | 47.79 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | KING MORTAR | 1.1% | 87.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 78
PLACE
5 72
9 27.5
14 15
QUINELLA
9,14 195
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 447.5
5,14 160
9,14 72.5
TIERCE
9,14,5 10,772
TRIO
5,9,14 1,490
FIRST 4
1,5,9,14 2,583
QUARTET
9,14,5,1 80,826
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 30
A1 —