沙田 · 2019-10-27
第 6場
2019-10-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由J Moreira策騎、K W Lui訓練的FORTUNE HAPPINESS勝出，贏出HD。WAYFOONG CHARMER獲得亞軍；STRATHCLYDE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B 1.09.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 3.4 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO1 C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 3.5 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 12 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPREME PATROL B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA XB R Bayliss · D J Hall | R Bayliss | D J Hall | 1 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | TURF BRILLIANT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 4 | 180.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | VOYAGE KING B/TT G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 9 | 9.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PEGASUS ELITE E-/P1/H2/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 11 | 159.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 26.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | PLEASANT GUY K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 13.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 33.8% | 2.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 18.3% | 5.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | DOLLAR REWARD | 13.4% | 7.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | VOYAGE KING | 8.3% | 12.01 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA | 7.3% | 13.78 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | STRATHCLYDE | 4.7% | 21.32 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 4.4% | 22.88 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | PLEASANT GUY | 3.1% | 32.09 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR | 3.0% | 32.88 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.2% | 46.50 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | PEGASUS ELITE | 0.9% | 110.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | TURF BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 138.79 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 34.5
PLACE
1 36
8 14.5
11 15
QUINELLA
8,11 64.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 77.5
1,11 76.5
8,11 26.5
TIERCE
8,11,1 831
TRIO
1,8,11 198
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 469
QUARTET
8,11,1,12 6,683
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
12/8 266.5
12/11 41.5