沙田 · 2019-10-27
第 7場
2019-10-27沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由R Bayliss策騎、K L Man訓練的MR WEALTH勝出，贏出N。AQUILA獲得亞軍；JUST NOT LISTENING獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門AQUILA跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR WEALTH H/P 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 3 | 19.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | AQUILA J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 1 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING B M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | MEGA RED B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP/XB Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 11 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SILVER FIG B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 9 | 3.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING SWORD A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 10 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | TOP MILITARY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 80.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | TEAM FORTUNE B/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 5 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR TT- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 65.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AQUILA | 45.6% | 2.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 17.2% | 5.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVER FIG | 13.3% | 7.50 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 4.6% | 21.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | TEAM FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.78 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 4.2% | 24.08 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | MEGA RED | 3.5% | 28.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | MR WEALTH | 1.8% | 54.86 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING SWORD | 1.8% | 57.13 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | TOP MILITARY | 1.6% | 61.21 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT | 1.3% | 75.97 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR | 0.7% | 138.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 196.5
PLACE
4 27
6 54
11 14.5
QUINELLA
6,11 358.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 238
4,11 55.5
6,11 136
TIERCE
6,11,4 8,491
TRIO
4,6,11 1,092
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 1,634
QUARTET
6,11,4,10 48,587
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
6TH DOUBLE
8/6 947.5
8/11 14.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,12/1,8,11/4,6,11 3,395,057
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,12/1,8,11/Any Combination 8,849