跑馬地 · 2019-11-20
第 7場
2019-11-20跑馬地第7場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的MR LUMIERES勝出，贏出1。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；YEE CHEONG BABY獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門YEE CHEONG BABY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MR LUMIERES 0.56.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM B/XB M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 10 | 22.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CUE THE MUSIC SR1/TT1 A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 1 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SPEEDY KING A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | REFINED TREASURE XB G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 12 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY BOY CP S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 3 | 3.9 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | MOMENT OF POWER B K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEED VISION B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 97.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 30.7% | 3.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | SUNNY BOY | 19.3% | 5.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST | 9.6% | 10.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | CUE THE MUSIC | 9.4% | 10.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | MR LUMIERES | 8.0% | 12.46 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | REFINED TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.49 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SPEEDY KING | 4.2% | 23.53 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | LITTLE BIRD | 4.2% | 23.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 2.9% | 34.90 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM | 2.7% | 37.19 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | MOMENT OF POWER | 2.6% | 38.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEED VISION | 1.2% | 82.99 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 186
PLACE
3 14
9 48
11 44
QUINELLA
9,11 1,810.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 95.5
3,11 100.5
9,11 448
TIERCE
11,9,3 15,083
TRIO
3,9,11 1,436
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 2,075
QUARTET
11,9,3,12 93,255
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 25
全部彩池（另 2 項）
6TH DOUBLE
12/9 142.5
12/11 607.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,10/1,2,12/Any Combination 25,530