跑馬地 · 2019-11-20
第 1場
2019-11-20跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、P F Yiu訓練的KANBEKI MOLLY勝出，贏出1/2。EVERYONE'S ELITE獲得亞軍；HAPPY HOUR獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.3倍大熱門BUNDLE OF ENERGY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KANBEKI MOLLY 一路領先 SR1 1.40.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 8 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | EVERYONE'S ELITE 後段發力 B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY HOUR 後段發力 E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 12 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLD VELVET 後段發力 B A Sanna · A T Millard | A Sanna | A T Millard | 10 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLDEN CANNON B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 6.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS H/SR K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | IRISH VEGA B2/TT2 R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SAVANNAH WIND 後段發力 B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 11 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HIDDEN SPIRIT B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | MONEY WINNER B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MY DEAR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 26.3% | 3.81 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | GOLDEN CANNON | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 11.9% | 8.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 9.6% | 10.37 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | GOLD VELVET | 8.8% | 11.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 6.9% | 14.51 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY HOUR | 6.5% | 15.28 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 5.9% | 17.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | IRISH VEGA | 4.9% | 20.45 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | SAVANNAH WIND | 3.3% | 30.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | MONEY WINNER | 1.6% | 60.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | MY DEAR | 1.5% | 64.66 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 292.5
PLACE
1 74.5
2 22.5
6 50.5
QUINELLA
1,2 772.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 237
1,6 560
2,6 177
TIERCE
1,2,6 16,490
TRIO
1,2,6 2,013
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 9,145
QUARTET
1,2,6,3 277,295
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32
A1 —