跑馬地 · 2019-11-20
第 3場
2019-11-20跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的AMAZING STAR勝出，贏出5-1/2。ZERO HEDGE獲得亞軍；WINNING TOGETHER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AMAZING STAR 1.08.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 2.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 6.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING TOGETHER B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 11 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ORIENTAL ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PLIKCLONE H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 73.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | MENAGGIO H1 A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 6 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 8 | 6.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 12 | 84.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 5.8 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE TT1 H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 1 | 96.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 9 | VOYAGE KING B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 7.8 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 19.3% | 5.18 | 10 |
| 2 | 3 | AMAZING STAR | 19.0% | 5.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ZERO HEDGE | 17.4% | 5.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS | 13.2% | 7.55 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 12.4% | 8.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE | 4.9% | 20.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | PLIKCLONE | 4.4% | 22.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY | 3.6% | 27.86 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 2.3% | 43.05 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | WINNING TOGETHER | 1.8% | 54.82 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | MENAGGIO | 1.7% | 60.14 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 23.5
PLACE
3 16
4 19.5
11 90
QUINELLA
3,4 87
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 38.5
3,11 206.5
4,11 424.5
TIERCE
3,4,11 3,569
TRIO
3,4,11 1,329
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 2,180
QUARTET
3,4,11,2 26,212
2ND DOUBLE
6/3 131.5
6/4 68
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —