跑馬地 · 2020-02-26
第 1場
2020-02-26跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、A T Millard訓練的GOLD VELVET勝出，贏出SH。ENJOYABLE SUCCESS獲得亞軍；VICTORIOUS SEEKER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門WICKER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOLD VELVET 後段發力 B 1.49.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 後段發力 B B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 7 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 5 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WICKER B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GARLIC YEAH 後段發力 B-/V1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS 早段領放 H/SR M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 2 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | BREAK RECORD CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | YOUNG GLORY B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 4 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DIVINE POWER B N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SPEEDY WALLY TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 8 | 4.2 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | LITTLE ISLAND V C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 42.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WICKER | 20.5% | 4.87 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | MCMUNIGAL | 13.0% | 7.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | BREAK RECORD | 10.2% | 9.77 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 9.5% | 10.57 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 9.2% | 10.89 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | GOLD VELVET | 8.8% | 11.37 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | SPEEDY WALLY | 8.1% | 12.30 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | GARLIC YEAH | 8.0% | 12.44 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 4.1% | 24.14 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | DIVINE POWER | 3.8% | 26.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.5% | 40.21 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | LITTLE ISLAND | 2.2% | 46.35 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 128
PLACE
2 57.5
5 40.5
7 27.5
QUINELLA
2,5 1,297
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 365.5
2,7 267
5,7 237
TIERCE
5,2,7 28,602
TRIO
2,5,7 3,314
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 4,830
QUARTET
5,2,7,6 99,182
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26
A2 —