跑馬地 · 2020-02-26
第 9場
2020-02-26跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的INVINCIBLE MISSILE勝出，贏出1-1/2。SHINING ACE獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT 1.09.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SHINING ACE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | VICTORY POWER B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 86.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 5 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUNSET WATCH XB/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 1 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JADE THEATRE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | LE TERROIR H-/XB-/CP M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 4 | 66.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 4.6 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SUNNY BOY CP-/B1/TT1 B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 7 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 26.5% | 3.77 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 21.2% | 4.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 18.3% | 5.46 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SHINING ACE | 9.3% | 10.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM | 5.9% | 16.92 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | VICTORY POWER | 4.7% | 21.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNNY BOY | 3.9% | 25.53 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | CUE THE MUSIC | 3.1% | 32.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | LE TERROIR | 3.0% | 33.20 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | SUNSET WATCH | 2.0% | 49.17 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 1.3% | 78.78 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | JADE THEATRE | 0.7% | 137.06 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 85
PLACE
5 25.5
6 29
8 13.5
QUINELLA
5,6 373
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 95
5,8 42.5
6,8 51.5
TIERCE
5,6,8 2,735
TRIO
5,6,8 363
FIRST 4
5,6,8,11 578
QUARTET
5,6,8,11 16,725
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4>5,10,12/5,6,8 4,498
8TH DOUBLE
5,12/5 160
5,12/6 54.5
SIX UP
3/4/2/8/5,12/5 1,224,914
3,8/4,9/2,7/1,8/5,10,12/5,6 33,343
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
8/5,12/5 2,559
8/5,12/6 614