跑馬地 · 2020-02-26
第 6場
2020-02-26跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C Fownes訓練的WINNING DELIGHT勝出，贏出3/4。MORE THAN A HORSE獲得亞軍；TASHIDELEK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門TASHIDELEK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT 後段發力 TT 2.16.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE 後段發力 B/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TASHIDELEK CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SEERITE DRAGON 後段發力 B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | GAYSON 後段發力 B/XB M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOD OF DRAGON H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MAGNETISM B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | PARTY TOGETHER H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 9.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE 早段領放 SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | TRAVEL FIRST B-/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 106.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TASHIDELEK | 27.4% | 3.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | GOD OF DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | GAYSON | 9.0% | 11.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.85 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | SEERITE DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.17 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 6.1% | 16.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | PARTY TOGETHER | 5.6% | 17.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 5.3% | 18.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | MAGNETISM | 5.1% | 19.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | TRAVEL FIRST | 4.4% | 22.85 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE | 4.3% | 23.25 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 197.5
PLACE
1 13
2 40
7 29
QUINELLA
2,7 836
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 87
1,7 56
2,7 250
TIERCE
2,7,1 6,483
TRIO
1,2,7 514
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 1,082
QUARTET
2,7,1,4 40,602
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 34.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/2 654
4/7 52.5