Happy Valley · 2020-02-26
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-26 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DELIGHT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with MORE THAN A HORSE second and TASHIDELEK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite TASHIDELEK finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT Closed strongly TT 2.16.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TASHIDELEK CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SEERITE DRAGON Closed strongly B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | GAYSON Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOD OF DRAGON H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MAGNETISM B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | PARTY TOGETHER H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 9.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE Led early SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | TRAVEL FIRST B-/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 106.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TASHIDELEK | 27.4% | 3.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | GOD OF DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | GAYSON | 9.0% | 11.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.85 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | SEERITE DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.17 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 6.1% | 16.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | PARTY TOGETHER | 5.6% | 17.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 5.3% | 18.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | MAGNETISM | 5.1% | 19.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | TRAVEL FIRST | 4.4% | 22.85 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE | 4.3% | 23.25 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 197.5
PLACE
1 13
2 40
7 29
QUINELLA
2,7 836
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 87
1,7 56
2,7 250
TIERCE
2,7,1 6,483
TRIO
1,2,7 514
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 1,082
QUARTET
2,7,1,4 40,602
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 34.5
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/2 654
4/7 52.5