Happy Valley · 2020-02-26
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT 1.39.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE Closed strongly B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 56.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON Closed strongly H M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HARMONY HERO Closed strongly B/H/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 10 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENCOURAGING B/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 11 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD STANDING Led early B/XB B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 2 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GREEN LUCK B/H L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 8 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-26 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with HEZTHEWONFORUS second and TIME TO CELEBRATE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite FAST MOST FURIOUS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOURAGING | 16.2% | 6.17 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 16.1% | 6.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 15.9% | 6.30 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 11.7% | 8.56 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 7.4% | 13.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY HERO | 6.7% | 14.86 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON | 6.3% | 15.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 5.9% | 16.90 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD STANDING | 5.1% | 19.68 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 4.5% | 22.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 4.2% | 23.83 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 46
PLACE
4 17
6 143
9 20.5
QUINELLA
4,9 118
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 507
4,9 53
6,9 537
TIERCE
4,9,6 10,049
TRIO
4,6,9 2,643
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 2,651
QUARTET
4,9,6,3 62,255
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/4,6,9 810,544
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 519.5
3/9 195.5