Happy Valley · 2020-02-26
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARES 1.09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE SHOW B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GUNNAR TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN MISSION B2/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 1 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY B-/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GRACYLOVE C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY B1/TT1 K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 124.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BETTER CHOICE CP2 T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VIGOR CHAMP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | COLONEL B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LET'S GO PARTY XB1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 12 | 323.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ARES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with THE SHOW second and GUNNAR third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARES | 27.7% | 3.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GUNNAR | 16.1% | 6.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BETTER CHOICE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY | 9.0% | 11.07 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | COLONEL | 8.5% | 11.72 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE | 7.3% | 13.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.1% | 19.79 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | THE SHOW | 4.7% | 21.41 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | GRACYLOVE | 4.4% | 22.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY | 3.1% | 32.54 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | VIGOR CHAMP | 1.3% | 76.12 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LET'S GO PARTY | 0.7% | 134.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 20
PLACE
1 15.5
5 13
12 36
QUINELLA
5,12 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 27.5
1,12 102.5
5,12 84.5
TIERCE
5,12,1 939
TRIO
1,5,12 215
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 379
QUARTET
5,12,1,11 6,171
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 501.5
5/12 321.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —