Happy Valley · 2020-02-26
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly H-/P-/V1/TT 1.39.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 6 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MY ALLY Led early TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 12 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH V A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 8.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B T Piccone · D J Hall | T Piccone | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD OMEN Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KIRAM L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 10 | 68.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY H/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HELLO DADDY B1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 36.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THUNDER STOMP C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DANCES WITH DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with CINQUANTE CINQ second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 22.2% | 4.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 13.4% | 7.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MY ALLY | 11.4% | 8.80 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH REV | 9.3% | 10.79 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 9.0% | 11.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 8.6% | 11.63 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 7.6% | 13.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 6.2% | 16.10 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 5.4% | 18.45 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | KIRAM | 4.0% | 25.09 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | HELLO DADDY | 2.9% | 33.97 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 26.5
PLACE
4 25
5 13.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
5,10 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 48.5
4,10 51
5,10 25.5
TIERCE
5,10,4 526
TRIO
4,5,10 113
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 834
QUARTET
5,10,4,6 8,775
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
8/5,12 435.5
8/10 132