Happy Valley · 2020-02-26
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY POWER Closed strongly 1.40.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 3 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BULB ELITE Closed strongly C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY Closed strongly H-/CP Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 11 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TUNG WAH GLORY Closed strongly P M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DOR DOR Closed strongly H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR CP B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 9 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | HARRIER JET Led early B-/CP1/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY POWER, ridden by T Piccone and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with BULB ELITE second and LET'S TAKE IT EASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite DOR DOR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 15.9% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DOR DOR | 15.8% | 6.32 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY POWER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 11.0% | 9.06 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 10.9% | 9.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 7.0% | 14.33 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HARRIER JET | 6.7% | 15.01 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 5.2% | 19.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 4.9% | 20.51 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.33 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 4.2% | 23.60 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TUNG WAH GLORY | 2.1% | 47.52 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 74.5
PLACE
4 11
7 25.5
8 33.5
10 16
QUINELLA
7,8 485.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 40
4,8 40
4,10 43.5
7,8 151
7,10 60.5
8,10 82.5
TIERCE
7,8,4 3,579
7,8,10 5,034
TRIO
4,7,8 417
7,8,10 816
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 2,263
QUARTET
7,8,4,10 29,597
7,8,10,4 29,371
2ND DOUBLE
5/7 370
5/8 67.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 19
A1 —