跑馬地 · 2020-03-04
第 1場
2020-03-04跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、K L Man訓練的FARM BUMPER勝出，贏出1-1/4。AURORA STEED獲得亞軍；MULTIMAX獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門GREAT SON跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FARM BUMPER 0.57.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | AURORA STEED B N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | MULTIMAX B J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 7 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | LA BOMBA TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | TRAVEL SUCCESSOR B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SHOW MISSION B G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 1 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY H-/B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | U W BROTHER B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | GREAT SON B/TT K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 3.9 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 4 | DEMONS ROCK Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SHOW MISSION | 16.3% | 6.14 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | GREAT SON | 13.5% | 7.39 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD | 11.5% | 8.68 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | U W BROTHER | 10.8% | 9.27 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 9.0% | 11.09 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | FARM BUMPER | 7.9% | 12.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | AURORA STEED | 7.6% | 13.14 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | MULTIMAX | 7.1% | 14.08 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | TRAVEL SUCCESSOR | 5.7% | 17.65 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 5.6% | 18.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | LA BOMBA | 5.0% | 19.98 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 122
PLACE
2 33.5
5 30
7 39
QUINELLA
2,7 805.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 170.5
2,7 240
5,7 182.5
TIERCE
7,2,5 10,150
TRIO
2,5,7 1,762
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 6,561
QUARTET
7,2,5,3 134,783
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —