跑馬地 · 2020-03-04
第 3場
2020-03-04跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、W Y So訓練的MASTER ALBERT勝出，贏出3/4。AFTER ME獲得亞軍；SHANGHAI MASTER獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門CLASSIC POSH跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT 1.10.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | AFTER ME G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SHANGHAI MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 7 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SACRED TIMING B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY PROJECT B-/TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 201.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | LOOK ERAS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SMART OF YOUTH TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 10 | 9.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | RESOLUTE C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY WINNER H K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 96.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | FIRE BALL C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMART OF YOUTH | 24.3% | 4.11 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 19.7% | 5.08 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER ALBERT | 17.2% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | AFTER ME | 9.7% | 10.27 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SACRED TIMING | 6.9% | 14.47 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | FIRE BALL | 5.3% | 18.74 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 5.0% | 19.83 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SHANGHAI MASTER | 4.1% | 24.13 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | LOOK ERAS | 2.8% | 35.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | RESOLUTE | 2.4% | 41.36 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY WINNER | 1.3% | 76.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY PROJECT | 1.0% | 99.19 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 45
PLACE
2 34.5
5 14
9 25
QUINELLA
5,9 175.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 68
2,9 172
5,9 59.5
TIERCE
5,9,2 2,159
TRIO
2,5,9 436
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 919
QUARTET
5,9,2,3 15,740
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 531
10/9 133.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15.5
A2 —