跑馬地 · 2020-03-04
第 8場
2020-03-04跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的THIS IS CLASS勝出，贏出3/4。GREEN REIGN獲得亞軍；BEAUTY SPARK獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H 1.09.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | GREEN REIGN B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | STARLIGHT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 118.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FALCON TURBO B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 132.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER WISE P/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 37.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MR SO AND SO C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THIS IS CLASS | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | BEAUTY SPARK | 21.5% | 4.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | GREEN REIGN | 14.4% | 6.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 10.8% | 9.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 8.2% | 12.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | FALCON TURBO | 6.7% | 14.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.3% | 29.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.3% | 30.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN | 1.9% | 51.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER WISE | 1.9% | 51.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | STARLIGHT | 1.8% | 54.64 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.5% | 205.24 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 13
6 33.5
9 16
QUINELLA
2,6 186
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 69.5
2,9 24.5
6,9 93.5
TIERCE
2,6,9 512
TRIO
2,6,9 144
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 253
QUARTET
2,6,9,3 3,774
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/2,6,9 66,658
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 78
10/6 51
SIX UP
5/8/1/3/10/2 28,490
5,9/8,9/1,9/3,5/9,10/2,6 4,873
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
3/10/2 672
3/10/6 479