Happy Valley · 2020-03-04
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THIS IS CLASS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with GREEN REIGN second and BEAUTY SPARK third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H 1.09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | GREEN REIGN B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | STARLIGHT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 118.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FALCON TURBO B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 132.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER WISE P/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 37.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MR SO AND SO C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THIS IS CLASS | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | BEAUTY SPARK | 21.5% | 4.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | GREEN REIGN | 14.4% | 6.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 10.8% | 9.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 8.2% | 12.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | FALCON TURBO | 6.7% | 14.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.3% | 29.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.3% | 30.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN | 1.9% | 51.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER WISE | 1.9% | 51.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | STARLIGHT | 1.8% | 54.64 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.5% | 205.24 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 13
6 33.5
9 16
QUINELLA
2,6 186
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 69.5
2,9 24.5
6,9 93.5
TIERCE
2,6,9 512
TRIO
2,6,9 144
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 253
QUARTET
2,6,9,3 3,774
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/2,6,9 66,658
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 78
10/6 51
SIX UP
5/8/1/3/10/2 28,490
5,9/8,9/1,9/3,5/9,10/2,6 4,873
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
3/10/2 672
3/10/6 479