Happy Valley · 2020-03-04
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 3 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 99.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FARSHAD CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR Closed strongly XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 10 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 6 | 66.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 7.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 8 | 7.4 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLASH FAMOUS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with OWNERS' STAR second and XIANG BAI QI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 22.9% | 4.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 17.0% | 5.89 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 16.1% | 6.22 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 7.6% | 13.17 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FARSHAD | 7.4% | 13.51 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 6.7% | 14.88 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR | 6.4% | 15.70 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 5.7% | 17.53 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 5.0% | 19.84 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | STARSHIP | 3.1% | 31.94 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 2.1% | 47.39 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 31
PLACE
5 40.5
9 43
10 14.5
QUINELLA
9,10 252
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 301.5
5,10 84
9,10 97.5
TIERCE
10,9,5 3,448
TRIO
5,9,10 1,243
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 1,247
QUARTET
10,9,5,4 23,781
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18.5
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/9 294
3/10 240.5