Happy Valley · 2020-03-04
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly 1.39.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 1 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly H-/B1 K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 2 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY Closed strongly CP-/B1 K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 8 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 4 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE HULK B-/XB-/V1/TT- Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 4.2 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | THE WEATHERMAN Led early P- K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 9 | 96.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 34.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BULLET B1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 159.0 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR WAI WAI, ridden by N Callan and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with SURREALISM second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite JOLLY HONOUR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 24.3% | 4.12 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 17.4% | 5.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.3% | 10.70 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | THE HULK | 7.7% | 13.00 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 6.2% | 16.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 4.6% | 21.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | JADE FORTUNE | 3.6% | 27.98 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE | 3.5% | 28.47 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 1.1% | 91.65 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | THE WEATHERMAN | 1.0% | 96.08 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BULLET | 0.9% | 110.91 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 40
PLACE
3 17.5
5 26.5
7 15
QUINELLA
3,5 274
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 82
3,7 41.5
5,7 62
TIERCE
3,5,7 1,488
TRIO
3,5,7 187
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 195
QUARTET
3,5,7,2 4,591
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/3,5,7 4,887
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 404
1/5 126.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,8,9/1,2,9/3,5,7 385,464
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,9/1,2,9/Any Combination 3,209