Happy Valley · 2020-03-04
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALA NIGHT Closed strongly CP 1.49.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 2 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly XB-/H J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 63.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SANGRIA Closed strongly B C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 6 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FULL POWER Closed strongly B/XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 11 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RULE THEE Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 4.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT G van Niekerk · A S Cruz | G van Niekerk | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-04 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GALA NIGHT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with DIONYSUS COLLIN second and PLAY WISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite DIONYSUS COLLIN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 31.4% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 21.0% | 4.77 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | RULE THEE | 9.9% | 10.15 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 7.1% | 14.08 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FULL POWER | 4.5% | 22.32 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.3% | 23.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 3.1% | 32.53 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SANGRIA | 2.9% | 34.04 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 2.9% | 34.87 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 2.3% | 42.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.0% | 102.80 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 138
PLACE
1 163
8 13.5
10 35.5
QUINELLA
8,10 203.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 317
1,10 1,215
8,10 71
TIERCE
10,8,1 19,537
TRIO
1,8,10 3,331
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 4,075
QUARTET
10,8,1,5 132,008
1ST DOUBLE
7/8 113
7/10 2,338.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A1 —
A3 —